Thursday, March 5, 2009

Playoff Scenarios

For those of you curious about the playoffs, DPR has clinched a playoff spot. DPR has a chance to lock-up the top spot, either by beating Carioca by 5 or more goals, or by beating Carioca with a margin greater than or equal to the one that Otpisani beats Nevada. If DPR fails to do both, i.e. Otpisani's winning margin exceeds DPR's (I am not sure of the tie break scenario), than Otpisani can win the group. The only way DPR would finish less than 2nd is if DPR and Optisani lose, which is highly unlikely.

That brings us to where things actually get interesting. Right now, Arsenal are last with no games to play. That means they are a stone at the bottom of the ocean. They have nowhere to go. However, Carioca sits only 4 GD points above them, with one game to play. If DPR beats Carioca by 5 or more goals, Carioca are out, and Arsenal are re-animated and get to play DPR in the first round! If, however, Carioca gives DPR a rough time, i.e. winning, drawing or losing by fewer than 5 goals, then they secure the final playoff spot. However, they would then play either DPR or Otpisani in the first round of the playoffs, depending on the stuff described in the paragraph above.

Confused? Imagine how I feel. Nevertheless, it is ironic that we may play Arsenal again in the first round. I was hoping to have eliminated them, but revenge is a dish best served cold, in back-to-back meals, at the same restaurant.

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